Nov 10

Week 10 NFL Picks (part 1)

Hello all.  This is my second installment of the weekly NFL picks.  Last week I went 8-6 and was surprised by a few games, most notably the way Miami manhandled the seemingly rising KC Chiefs.  31-3 Miami wins. lol.  SO… there may be some DOLPHIN SAFE pics in the future; but it will be hard to spot them.  I will probably still stay away.

home team in caps, pick in bold… let’s do this!

Thursday night game

CHARGERS(4-4) over Raiders(4-4) line SD by 7

All right here folks we have two very explosive teams who haven’t been, rather they have both been imploding.  The Chargers are on a three game loosing streak, and the Raiders are on a two game loosing streak.  When you look at the quality of the teams the two have recently played, the Chargers don’t look so bad all of a sudden.  In last week’s loss to the Packers, the Chargers put up a fight.  They lost 45-38.  If I am the Chargers, that feels a whole lot better than the 38-24 drubbing the Raiders took from the Broncos.  The Raiders seem to be a team that is looking for a rock to crawl under after they gave Tim Tebow some Florida Gator style highlights.  The Raiders own QB still has not shown he is a fit in the new system as he threw 3 TDs with 3 INTs last week.  The biggest problem in Raider Nation is that players may have a beef with the way Hugh Jackson is coaching them.  It showed up last week after halftime when their second level defenders went to sleep and never woke up against Tebow and the Broncos. Now they face a legitimate NFL QB in Philip Rivers who threw for 385 yards and 4 TDs with 3 INTs in the loss to the Pack.  The only real good  news for the Raiders is that the Chargers have not been explosive running the ball recently as Ryan Mathews is probable, having missed last weeks game with a groin injury.

I see the Chargers continuing to get back on the right track here at home and handing HughJack and the Raiders a resounding 45-23 loss.

Sunday games

49ERS (7-1) over Giants (5-2) line SF by 4

This is the game of the week for much of the nation.  Finally the Niners get a worthy opponent.  Not only that, but the toast of NYC and the NFC East leading Giants.  This is gonna be cool.

In fact, it could be cold.  San Francisco is likely to have rain and a game time temp around 54 degrees.  Candlestick park will be muddy, the sodgrass will be coming up in places, and everything will be slick.  The wind will be gusty and swirling.  Oh what a great atmosphere!  (hope they never move to Santa Clara jk)

This game sets up to the 49ers strong points.  Niners run the ball and stop the run.  Giants really don’t do either one well.  In the last 6 games, the Giants have allowed the opponent to rush for an average of 106 yards.  In the last 5 games, Frank Gore has averaged 126 yards and has 4 TDs over that span.  The Giants running game has been almost non-existent as leading rusher Ahmad Bradshaw has been out nursing a broken foot an did not practice as of Wednesday.  Backup rusher Brandon Jacobs has not been very productive so far this year.

How much the passing game affects this game is up in the air.  Depending on the weather, it could be very difficult.  If Giants QB Eli Manning can get going, he can hurt the 49ers who own the league’s 22nd ranked defense against the pass.  Eli can spread the ball around to his many targets.  WR Victor Cruz is having a breakout year and leading the GMen in receiving yards with 588 and 4 TDs.  WR Hakeem Nicks is questionable for the game due to a hamstring injury but has 575yards 3 TDs on the year.

Alex Smith is having a special year.  He is starting to stretch the field with Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis.  The receivers are working on creating better chemistry with Smith and it shows.

I see the 49ers taking this one in a ground pounding ball control game.  24-17.

Saints (6-3) over FALCONS (5-3) line 0

Drew Brees is such a competitor and this is the point where he starts to dominate.  Not that he hasn’t already.  He has already thrown for over 3000 yards on the year with 21 TDs.  Those numbers dwarf Matt Ryan’s 1958yards and 12 TDs.

For the Falcons, special rookie WR Julio Jones returned from injury last week and burned the Colts for 131 receiving yards and 2 TDs.

I like the Saints in this one on the road, I mean the track in Atlanta… Saints 48-33.

Stopping point here, will continue soon and finish by Friday. Or not.  The rest of these are written as Sunday early east coast games are starting, so they will be shot from the hip..

Steelers (6-3)over BENGALS (6-2) line Pittsburg by 3.5

This is one of the few games where you will see the team with the worse record favored on the road.  Simply, the Steelers are the better team.  The Bengals get LB Rey Maualuga back from injury but have CB Pacman Jones out with a hamstring injury.  Troy Palomalu and James Harrison return for the Steelers but LB LaMarr Woodley remains out.

Steelers are getting healthier and are pissed after loosing at home to the Ravens.  I expect them to dominate this game and cover easily.

I have the Steelers winning 24-13.

BROWNS(3-5) over Rams(1-7) line Cleaveland by 2.5


Thats all for now.  There are games I will not preview.  I am missing some this week. I am so excited about Niners vs. Giants.  We will see.  I will preview the Monday Night game later on tonight.

1 comment

  1. Shawn

    I deleted the Browns vs Rams pic. Instead of previewing the Browns, I listed all Bengals players. Wow. Oh well. I take the loss on this pic, but I will not show it to the world any longer. LOL at myself! I was 3-2 on the week including Bengals vs Rams which was not on the schedule. OOOPS!

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